vivekbma
Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Sunday, April 21, 2013
6 reasons why gold is in a bear market
A lot of people especially traders have been caught on the wrong foot because of gold princes plummeting in a matter of few days. There is wide speculation as to the reasons behind this. The main 6 reasons why it has tumbled is as follows:-
1.The main reason for gold losing strength is the rise of the dollar. An unexpected contraction in US retail sales, which hurt stocks and supported the dollar on Friday, added to pressures building in the course of the week.
2. The green-buck has also moved up on the hopes that the US economy is emerging from its crises, which could nudge the Federal Reserve to withdraw the stimulus package earlier than expected. Analyst say that the Fed has given the signal that there's a possibility to reduce QE and that took a lot of trust out of gold.
3. Consistent fall in gold prices led to speculative selling by participants as they are anticipating further fall in prices after the precious metal dipped to two-year low on expectations that demand for the asset will contract as the global economy improves.
4. Reports doing rounds that Cyprus is planning to sell some of its gold holdings. A European Commission assessment showed it was set to sell gold reserves to raise around 400 million euros (USD 525 million). While Cyprus' gold sale in itself is small, heavily indebted euro zone nations such as Italy and Portugal could also find themselves under increasing pressure to put their bullion reserves to work.
5. The return of confidence in the US economy has also seen investors shifting money from safe havens like gold to riskier assets like stocks. The US stock markets are currently trading at all-time high levels. Investors have recently been dumping gold, which has dropped for the past three straight weeks, and flocking to equity markets for better returns.
6.Sentiment has suffered due to recent cuts to price forecasts for the precious metal and outflows from gold exchange-traded products. Goldman Sachs lowered its average gold-price forecast for 2013 to USD 1,545 an ounce. Holdings of the SPDR Gold Shares, the largest gold ETF in the world, have fallen 10 percent from their peak levels.
Monday, March 18, 2013
Sunday, February 17, 2013
Factors to be considered before choosing health insurance
Hi Friends,
A lot of you have helped me in my venture of becoming a health insurance advisor for Apollo Munich. When I thought of buying a health insurance policy for myself, I considered the following before choosing my policy:-
1) Ethical Management- It should be from a group which is ethical. An unethical group running a health insurance business is a strict no-no. They will not pay you when the claim arises.
2) Network Hospitals- Choose a health insurance company which offers you the maximum network hospitals. It should have a tie up with atleast 3 out of the top 4 hospitals in the city that you are residing apart from all other major hospitals across all cities.
3) Cashless Hospitalisation- Choose a health insurer which provides for cashless hospitalisation at most of the hospitals. If it does not provide cashless benefits across the major hospitals, there is no point of buying a health insurance policy. What is the use of going for a health insurance in the 1st place if you have to opt for reimbursement? The objective of taking a health insurance is that it should not put you under any financial constraints when your near and dear ones are hospitalised.
4) Claim Processing- Choose a health insurer which does not take a lot of time in processing the claims.
5) Have an insurance agent instead of buying the policy online- You should have a professional accountable agent who will take care of your claim processing in case of a need arising. When you are getting an agent for free, its better to make use of the agent than to feel good about buying a policy online and not knowing what to do when the claim arises. Do not choose an agent who looks like a patient himself.
6) Choose a decent renewable cover- Most of the people compare policies on the basis of premiums. It is an exercise in futility. Make sure that you go for a policy which gives you a good cover, is renewable for lifetime. Healthcare costs are increasing at an average cost of 17-19% per annum. Its very important to have a high health cover and not focus on the premium too much. As they say, do not be penny wise and pound foolish.
Your Friend,
Vivek
A lot of you have helped me in my venture of becoming a health insurance advisor for Apollo Munich. When I thought of buying a health insurance policy for myself, I considered the following before choosing my policy:-
1) Ethical Management- It should be from a group which is ethical. An unethical group running a health insurance business is a strict no-no. They will not pay you when the claim arises.
2) Network Hospitals- Choose a health insurance company which offers you the maximum network hospitals. It should have a tie up with atleast 3 out of the top 4 hospitals in the city that you are residing apart from all other major hospitals across all cities.
3) Cashless Hospitalisation- Choose a health insurer which provides for cashless hospitalisation at most of the hospitals. If it does not provide cashless benefits across the major hospitals, there is no point of buying a health insurance policy. What is the use of going for a health insurance in the 1st place if you have to opt for reimbursement? The objective of taking a health insurance is that it should not put you under any financial constraints when your near and dear ones are hospitalised.
4) Claim Processing- Choose a health insurer which does not take a lot of time in processing the claims.
5) Have an insurance agent instead of buying the policy online- You should have a professional accountable agent who will take care of your claim processing in case of a need arising. When you are getting an agent for free, its better to make use of the agent than to feel good about buying a policy online and not knowing what to do when the claim arises. Do not choose an agent who looks like a patient himself.
6) Choose a decent renewable cover- Most of the people compare policies on the basis of premiums. It is an exercise in futility. Make sure that you go for a policy which gives you a good cover, is renewable for lifetime. Healthcare costs are increasing at an average cost of 17-19% per annum. Its very important to have a high health cover and not focus on the premium too much. As they say, do not be penny wise and pound foolish.
Your Friend,
Vivek
Friday, February 1, 2013
Welcome to the one stop shop for all your financial needs!!!!!
There is a brilliant saying, "If you are doing business only for yourself, one day you will be the sole customer." I have been inspired by 3 celebrities in life namely Sachin Tendulkar, Roger Federer and Aamir Khan. The main reason why I am a major fan of these 3 people is because they have given happiness to so many people across the world and they have taught us to dream big. People do not get that ecstatic feeling watching them because of their wealth but because they are passionate and crazy for their profession. They have taught us to go after our dreams, money is just a by-product. They do not work for money, money works for them. They work for producing magic.
It really hurts me when I see how people have started giving importance to money in life just to meet their short term targets. It hurts when I see people mis-selling financial products to people for their major cut. It hurts when people focus on short term goals and not building lasting relationships. I firmly believe that when you are into the business of selling, it cannot be target based.
For this sole reason I chose a marketing profession in the financial world where I tied up with the best of companies and institutes when it comes to work ethics such as BMA Wealth Creators Ltd, LIC of India, HDFC Ltd, Bank of India and I started teaching at the prestigious institutes iLead and Edusure. I have always believed that financial freedom is one of the most important ingredients towards a happy and prosperous life.
I really want to thank all the important people who have made this dream come true. I am giving it my best shot to take humanity and work ethics to the next level. Each and every of the 1668 page views till date makes a difference to my life and motivates me everyday. Its a commitment that I shall ensure that all of you earn great wealth and great happiness. I shall always perform to the best of my abilities.
Love you friends,
Vivek
Friday, January 25, 2013
Why It Makes Sense To Buy Gold
“The
desire for gold is not for gold. It is for the means of freedom and benefit.”
These words by Ralph Waldo Emerson sum up the reason why the yellow metal
continues to hold favour among investors across the globe. While retail
investors seek freedom from inflation, large buyers (read Central banks, hedge
funds) seek freedom from currency devaluation. In this era of
Quantitative Easing (QE) and artificial monetary support, markets are rewarding
gold for its sheer quality of maintaining purchasing power. If one cuts off the
incessant money printing across the globe, gold would be reduced to a worthless
asset in the end. To put it simply, it is not the value of gold that is going
up, but the value of currencies that is coming down.
The US Federal Reserve’s balance sheet was just
under $900 billion in early 2008, but it has expanded to just over $2.8
trillion currently. The gold mine production rate has remained flat in
comparison.
More importantly, balance sheet inflation continues
at the same pace. The Fed recently announced another round of QE policies that
could see around $1 trillion being added to the Fed’s balance sheet every year
till they decide to stop printing money. With the re-election of Japan’s
Liberal Democratic Party, the nation is poised to witness an easier money
policy in a bid to boost economic growth. It is such synchronised efforts from
Central banks across the globe that has further accentuated gold’s role as a
monetary alternative. The fiscal role of gold is gaining more ground with the
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision as it is considering defining gold as a
‘tier 1’ asset in line with cash and AAA government securities. It is expected
to open doors for gold to compete with cash and government bonds on bank
balance sheets.
Yet, gold remains one of the under-invested
assets. Currently around 1 percent of global financial assets are
invested in gold. We believe gold is far from being in a bubble
phase. Gold price performance in all G7 currencies in the past five to 10 years
stands testimony to the fact that it’s a broad-based rally.
Fixed Income and equities have generally found more
favour with investors as these are income-generating assets. Fixed Income
provides interest; equities provides dividend. Gold generates neither. However,
things have been changing with real interest rates moving into the negative
territory across the globe and dividend yield on equities being far from
encouraging further investments. With even currencies being consciously devalued,
gold is emerging as an alternative to fiat money with more fundamental value to
provide to investors.
However, one would note that gold prices have not
really moved significantly higher in the recent past in spite of such easy
money policies. To understand why, let’s look at the US QE programme.
When the Fed engages in QE, it does so by buying
assets in the open market, such as Treasury notes or mortgage bonds. When the
Fed buys a government bond in the open market, it creates the money to pay for
it out of thin air and the payment is credited against a commercial bank’s
account at the Federal Reserve. However, since banks have largely refrained
from lending it out into the economy, the velocity of money has not matched the
pace of money supply. In most cases the
money is either deposited with the Central bank or with other banks. Hence, the
money that the Fed creates is not in circulation. However,
when these large sums of money do start flowing into the economy, we would see
inflation rising, which would further fuel demand for gold.
But is QE really the only answer to the current
global crisis? If yes, then it would be difficult to explain why the US economy
continues to struggle. The rate of economic growth and the distribution of
income and wealth in a country are closely related to export growth. A weaker
currency acts as an important stimulant for favourable exports growth. Hence,
most of the economies have engaged in a race towards devaluation.
India has been thriving on its domestic demand
advantage for a long time now. However, a large part of this strong demand is
focussed on buying gold that is hurting foreign exchange reserves. The
government has been trying several tactics to reduce gold bullion imports as it
has started taking its toll on the country’s current account deficit. Apart
from hiking the customs duty, the government recently barred banks from
financing gold purchases. To dissuade retail investors from buying physical
gold, the RBI is considering promoting gold investment in dematerialised form.
While most of these investment alternatives do prove to be viable investment
options, they fail to address the fundamental reason for the surge in gold
imports like high inflation and macro economic instability.
The banking crisis of 2008 left world-renowned
corporate houses bankrupt and prompted unprecedented Central bank actions
across the globe, which have led to most of the toxic debt getting transferred
from private balance sheets to government balance sheets. The race towards
competitive devaluation is set to intensify, leading to further deterioration
in the value of currencies. Here we say again, “Gold is good money”. Most
commodity bull markets run for 16 to 17 years and gold is just concluding 12
consecutive years of positive returns. Investors still have time to enjoy the
freedom and benefits of investing in this unique asset class that acts as a
hedge against governments’ mismanagement of money.
Source : Forbes
Your Friend,
Vivek
Sunday, December 30, 2012
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